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@billbennett's 2021 piece on AI hype references a paper by Ragnar Fjelland entitled Why general artificial intelligence will not be realized. Here's a permanent link to it;
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#agi
6 posts6 participants1 post today
It's amazing to me that both the secular and evangelical cults within MAGA are apocalyptic in nature, with their own versions of "the rapture". For TESCREALists, it's the singularity. For Evangelicals, it's disappearing into the ether to "meet with Jesus"
"AI firms are interested in developing tools and marketing strategies that revolve around the allure of AGI—around a stillborn god that will transform large swaths of society into excessively profitable enterprises and incredibly efficient operations. Think of it as a desperate attempt to defend capitalism, to preserve the status quo (capitalism) while purging recent reforms that purportedly undermine it (democracy, liberalism, feminism, environmentalism, etc.). Sam Altman, OpenAI’s co-founder, has repeatedly called for “a new social contract,” though most recently has insisted the “AI revolution” will force the issue on account of “how powerful we expect [AGI] to be.” It doesn’t take much to imagine that the new social contract will be a nightmarish exterminist future where AI powers surveillance, discipline, control, and extraction, instead of “value creation” for the whole of humanity.
The subsuming of art springs out of the defense of capitalism—more and more will have to be scavenged and cannibalized to sustain the status quo and somehow, someday, realize this supposedly much more profitable horizon. The ascendance of fascism comes with the purge—the attempt to rollback institutions and victories seen as shackles on the ability of capitalism to deliver prosperity (and limiters on the inordinate power and privilege for an unimaginably pampered and cloistered elite).
Both are part and parcel to what’s going on, but one project is objectively more dangerous (and ambitious) than the other. In that way, then, all of this is a distraction."
https://thetechbubble.substack.com/p/does-openais-latest-marketing-stunt
The Tech Bubble · Does OpenAI's latest marketing stunt matter?
@theaigrid #ai #llm #yannlecun $META
AI Godfather Stuns AI Community "No Way In HELL #AGI In 2 Years
( Ed : does it have to be full #AGI to be economically useful? 
)
@matthewberman on YT 
Google Gemini 2.5 Pro is Insane... WoW! 
https://youtu.be/RxCZhltR9Cw?feature=shared
(Ed : Now take that #anthropic #openai #mistral & #deepseek nearly forgot #meta 
)
"You can only throw so much money at a problem.
This, more or less, is the line being taken by AI researchers in a recent survey. Asked whether "scaling up" current AI approaches could lead to achieving artificial general intelligence (AGI), or a general purpose AI that matches or surpasses human cognition, an overwhelming 76 percent of respondents said it was "unlikely" or "very unlikely" to succeed.
Published in a new report, the findings of the survey, which queried 475 AI researchers and was conducted by scientists at the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence, offer a resounding rebuff to the tech industry's long-preferred method of achieving AI gains — by furnishing generative models, and the data centers that are used to train and run them, with more hardware. Given that AGI is what AI developers all claim to be their end game, it's safe to say that scaling is widely seen as a dead end."
Futurism · Majority of AI Researchers Say Tech Industry Is Pouring Billions Into a Dead End
"The point - which I don’t think is understood nearly widely enough - is that radical institutional revolutions such as #DOGE follow naturally from the AGI-prepper framework. If #AGI is right around the corner, we don’t need to have a massive federal government apparatus, organizing funding for science via the National Science Foundation and the National Institute for Health."
#AI #LLM #ElonMusk #USPolitics #Prepper
https://www.programmablemutter.com/p/should-agi-preppers-embrace-doge
Programmable Mutter · Should AGI-preppers embrace DOGE?
Presenting the latest edition of our popular newsletter, #AdvancesInComputing!" Dive into top articles curated by our editors on #AIEthics, #HCI for #AGI, and more.
Subscribe to receive notifications about our latest releases 
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/preprinting-ai-ethics-toward-set-community-ljvme/?trackingId=xeaVpYSmNmz0OT13om59bg%3D%3D
"If, alternatively, large models are not the near-term harbingers of AGI, but social and cultural technologies, then DOGE style changes are plausibly a horrific mistake. We are lobotomizing government, and ripping out the funding structures that support key forms of basic and applied scientific research without any plausible replacement. The short, medium and long term consequences are likely to be terrible, unless these changes are reversed quickly."
#AGI #DOGE #USPolitics
https://www.programmablemutter.com/p/should-agi-preppers-embrace-doge
Programmable Mutter · Should AGI-preppers embrace DOGE?
#ArtificialIntelligence that can match humans at any task is still some way off — but it’s only a matter of time before #AI becomes a reality, according to the CEO of Google DeepMind.
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/business-news/ai-can-match-humans-task-will-five-10-years-google-deepmind-ceo-says-rcna196771
Hassabis defined #AGI as “a system that’s able to exhibit all the complicated capabilities that humans can.”
NBC News · AI that can match humans at any task will be here in five to 10 years, Google DeepMind CEO says
»#HumanlevelAI will be here in 5 to 10 years, #DeepMind CEO says: #AGI broadly relates to #AI that is as smart or smarter than #humans.« https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/17/human-level-ai-will-be-here-in-5-to-10-years-deepmind-ceo-says.html?eicker.news #tech #media
CNBCAI that can match humans at any task will be here in five to 10 years, Google DeepMind CEO saysGoogle DeepMind CEO Demis Hassabis said he thinks artificial general intelligence, or AGI, will emerge in the next five or 10 years.
" #MANUS LEAKED! AGI Cancelled..."
Ep 3-14-2025 
Geloof de hypemachine niet. Met hun boek #TheAICon willen Emily M. Bender en Alex Hanna de AI-bubbel doorprikken en tonen hoe we ons kunnen verzetten tegen de #AI-zwendel van Big Tech.
“Het narratief dat dit alles onvermijdelijk is, is nergens op gebaseerd. Het dient enkel de belangen van de mensen en bedrijven die deze technologieën verkopen.”
Ik had het genoegen om te spreken met @emilymbender & @alex.
apache.be · Emily M. Bender en Alex Hanna: “Zeg nee tegen de AI-hype”Met hun boek 'The AI Con' willen ze tonen hoe we ons kunnen verzetten tegen de hypemachine van Big Tech.
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@EUCommission No doubt there are problems in investments this big. There are needs elsewhere. And AI is very problematic. Energy, real benefits?, possible AI takeover?
BUT China and US are massively investing in AI.
With AI one can launch such cyber attacks that other can counter only with AI.
Therefore - EU must also invest in AI.
Or else "they" will conquer us too.
'In his farewell address to the party, Trudeau warned that Canada faces an "existential challenge" from the US.
"Democracy is not a given, freedom is not a given, even Canada is not a given," Trudeau said.'
#AGI is not the threat. Inadequate regulation leading to #inequality rendering nations inadequately powerful to coordinate their mutual defense is the threat.
https://www.dw.com/en/mark-carney-to-become-canadas-new-prime-minister/a-71872416
Deutsche Welle · Mark Carney to become Canada's new prime minister