Helvede

30 posts18 participants0 posts today

Historian Matt23andMe, and Your DNA, is Up for Sale, DoorDash Now Lets You Finance Your Burrito - HTTAY 122 Sylph<a href="https://port87.social/tags/httay" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#httay</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/23andme" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#23andme</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/dna" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#dna</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/privacy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#privacy</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/doordash" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#doordash</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/technology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#technology</a> <a href="https://port87.social/tags/science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#science</a><a href="https://youtu.be/N_GRtz7ou9U?si=8xnj7J4ct5LD4tLE" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://youtu.be/N_GRtz7ou9U?si=8xnj7J4ct5LD4tLE</a>

Major Hayden 🤠These stock market-related threads are:(feedback welcomed!)<a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/trading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trading</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a>

Major Hayden 🤠In today's edition of "more fun ways to examine the stock market", everyone is asking if we've found a bottom yet. I have no idea, but we can look at some trends to give us an idea on probabilities.Before some *nerdy* charts, let's explain moving averages.This chart has two moving averages in the middle pane. Blue line is 50 day moving average and red is the 200 day moving average. These lines smooth out price action and highlight trends.<a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/trading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trading</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a>

unusual_whales81% of millennials have said they can’t afford to have a midlife crisis, per FORTUNE. <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

AJ Sadauskas<a href="https://bsky.brid.gy/r/https://bsky.app/profile/davidho.bsky.social" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@davidho.bsky.social</a> In case anyone was in doubt about how sociopathic Wall Street bankers are.Global warming is happening, they say, so invest now in air conditioning stocks!"The big banks’ acknowledgment that the world is likely to fail at preventing warming of more than 2 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels is spelled out in obscure reports for clients, investors and trade association members. Most were published after the reelection of President Donald Trump, who is seeking to repeal federal policies that support clean energy while turbocharging the production of oil, gas and coal — the main sources of global warming. … "Morgan Stanley’s climate forecast was tucked into a mundane research report on the future of air conditioning stocks, which it provided to clients on March 17. A 3 degree warming scenario, the analysts determined, could more than double the growth rate of the $235 billion cooling market every year, from 3 percent to 7 percent until 2030."<a href="https://www.eenews.net/articles/big-banks-predict-catastrophic-warming-with-profit-potential/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.eenews.net/articles/big-banks-predict-catastrophic-warming-with-profit-potential/</a><a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/GlobalWarming" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#GlobalWarming</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/ClimateChange" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ClimateChange</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Capitalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Capitalism</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Finance</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Banks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Banks</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Banking" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Banking</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Neoliberal" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Neoliberal</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Neoliberalism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Neoliberalism</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/Business" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Business</a> <a href="https://social.vivaldi.net/tags/politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#politics</a>

unusual_whalesJUST IN: The New York Stock Exchange Texas will have $DJT as its first new stock to list. <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

unusual_whales82.8% of homeowners with mortgages have an interest rate below 6%, per Redfin.But the lock-in effect has been easing; in the third quarter of 2023, for example, 87.7% of mortgaged homeowners had a rate below 6%. And in mid-2022, the share sat at a record 92.7%. <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

Major Hayden 🤠If you liked my posts on financial markets over the weekend, you'll enjoy this. I forgot to mention HYG, the high yield corporate bond ETF.High yield corporate bonds are riskier bonds that pay out a higher yield (think dividend) because of the risk.When times are good and traders believe risk of defaults are low, they like to hold these bonds and get the higher yields.Look at how much was bought in late 2023:<a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a>

Major Hayden 🤠What signals are the markets sending?Here's my blog post from this week detailing some of the stock charts I mentioned earlier here on Mastodon:<a href="https://thetanerd.com/what-signals-are-the-markets-sending/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://thetanerd.com/what-signals-are-the-markets-sending/</a><a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/trading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trading</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/investing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#investing</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a>

Bibliolater 📚 📜 🖋🔴 **A brief history of mathematics in finance**“_In this paper, we present a brief historical perspective on how the development of finance theory has influenced and in turn been influenced by the development of mathematical finance theory._”Akyıldırım, E. and Soner, H.M. (2014) 'A brief history of mathematics in finance,' Borsa Istanbul Review, 14(1), pp. 57–63. <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2014.01.002" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2014.01.002</a>.<a href="https://qoto.org/tags/OpenAccess" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OpenAccess</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/OA" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#OA</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/History" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#History</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Maths" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Maths</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Mathematics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Mathematics</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Math</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Finance</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Academia" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Academia</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Academics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Academics</a>

Bibliolater 📚 📜 🖋🔴 🇺🇸 :youtube: **How Trump’s economic team hopes to reset the international financial system**DW News “_As part of the scheme, the White House would reclassify trading partners into friends and enemies, and deliberately devalue the US dollar._”<a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Video" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Video</a> length: nine minutes and thirty-two seconds. 🔗 <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YR5hvqAaIk" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3YR5hvqAaIk</a><a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Trump" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Trump</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Economics</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Debt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Debt</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/USDebt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#USDebt</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/USDollar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#USDollar</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Dollar" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Dollar</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Trade" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Trade</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Politics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Politics</a> <a href="https://qoto.org/tags/Finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Finance</a> <a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/economics" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@economics</a>

unusual_whalesWarren Buffett: "There is nothing about the price action of a stock that tells you whether you should keep owning it. What tells you whether you should keep owning it is what you expect the company to do in the future." <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

Major Hayden 🤠So the next question is: what could we watch as a sign that things might be getting better and we should invest in stocks again?The US housing index is a good start. Wherever housing goes, the market usually follows. Housing is very sensitive to inflation, interest rates, manufacturing, and the purchasing power of individual people.<a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/investing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#investing</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a>

Major Hayden 🤠To make matters worse, technology stocks are HEAVILY concentrated in most indexes and ETFs, but they peaked in strength in July 2024.This means that when technology stocks move a little, the market moves a lot. A 1% move in NVDA will move the market much more than a 1% move in GIS (General Mills; think cereal).Remember the August 2024 dip? That's likely when the smarter traders started plotting their exit plans.<a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/trading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trading</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a>

Major Hayden 🤠This chart shows ex-US stocks versus the broader S&P 500 (mostly US stocks).When this chart moves higher, it means that stocks outside the USA are being bought. A move lower means that USA stocks are leading.This is still in a downtrend (USA leads), but ex-US stocks are making one heck of an attempt to break the trend. Time will tell.<a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a>

Major Hayden 🤠The stock market doesn't look like it has regained its footing quite yet. One of my favorite lenses to view the market is comparing the two ETFs XLY and XLP.This is a comparison of things you want (XLY) versus things you need (XLP).When this chart moves up, growth stocks usually do pretty well. When it heads down, it's a sign that traders are pulling back to safer bets.(Not financial advice) <a href="https://social.lol/tags/markets" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#markets</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/trading" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#trading</a> <a href="https://social.lol/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a>

unusual_whalesDo you want to follow Buffett's portfolio?Subscribe to Unusual Whales.Get updates ad Berkshire updates.See more: <a href="https://t.co/7nkPc4lBYy" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://t.co/7nkPc4lBYy</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

unusual_whalesCanadian Prime Minister Carney: "The old relationship we had with the United States based on deepening integration of our economies and tight security and military cooperation is over." <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

unusual_whalesElon Musk: I sleep for about 6 hours on average and I work almost every waking hour.... I work almost every waking hour. <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

unusual_whalesWarren Buffett: "Go to work for whomever you admire the most. You can't get a bad result. You'll jump out of bed in the morning." <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/news" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#news</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/finance" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#finance</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/economics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#economics</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/stocks" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stocks</a> <a href="https://masto.ai/tags/options" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#options</a>

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