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#prediction

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Mx Verda

" "Today’s assessment from the World Meteorological Organization is clear:
Global heating is a cold, hard fact,"
United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres said in a statement.
"There's still time to avoid the worst of climate catastrophe. But leaders must act
– now."

The planet's average temperature in 2024 was 1.6 degrees Celsius higher than in the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period, C3S said.
The last 10 years have all been in the top 10 hottest years on record, according to the World Meteorological Organization. "

federated.press/@ClimateNewsNo

reuters.com/business/environme
(And previous toot in thread I fucked up lgbtqia.space/@MxVerda/1138058 )

MastodonClimate News Now (@ClimateNewsNow@federated.press)2024 was the hottest year on record, scientists say. The WMO said climate change was pushing the planet's temperature to levels never before experienced by modern humans. #ClimateChange https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/2024-was-first-year-above-15c-global-warming-scientists-say-2025-01-10/
#Climate#ClimateDiary#ClimateStrike
Public
JW Prince of CPH, Radicalized

OK, prediction time 🧵: The commercial internet as we know it, which basically started with Amazon, ends within the next 5-10 years, tops.

Right now a lot of people think in crisis terms, like real-world crisis; the streets are flooded but we have to get by somehow. Soon, however, there'll be a surge of realization that the commercial internet is something we can just... leave. Do without. It was never more than merely convenient.

1/

Continued thread
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alpha1beta

My #prediction is that he tries to use Congress or executive orders to amend the constitutions to remove or alter term limits.

The courts will stop it.

And then SCOTUS will throw it out. And America will be dead. Millions of lives who worked to make democracy better will all have been wasted because one man, suffering from syphilis with a rotting brain captured the hearts of minds of millions of morons and his fragile ego could not take being a loser or being cuckolded by President Obama.

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💧🌏 Greg Cocks

Climate Change Key Driver Of Catastrophic Impacts Of Hurricane Helene That Devastated Both Coastal And Inland Communities [technical report]
--
alturl.com/5n38k <-- shared technical report
--
#GIS #spatial #mapping #spatialanalysis #hurricane #hurricanehelene #spatiotemporal #risk #hazard #naturaldisaster #impact #climatechange #precipitation #seasurfacetemperature #Appalachia #damage #loss #infrastructure #deaths #rainfall #precipitation #flood #flooding #engineeringgeology #erosion #massmovement #mudslides #landslides #debrisflows #disastermanagement #prediction #mitigation #climatemodels #model #modeling #spatiotemporal #IRIS #winds #extremeweather #weather #storm #humanimpacts #costs #economy #SST #warning #weatherprediction #dams #reservoirs #loss #lossoflife

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petersuber

Update. Slight shift in perspective: Not using #AI to do #PeerReview but to predict the outcome of human peer review.
link.springer.com/article/10.1

See my old (pre-Mastodon) Twitter thread on the same and similar ideas.
x.com/petersuber/status/125952

SpringerLinkTowards automated meta-review generation via an NLP/ML pipeline in different stages of the scholarly peer review process - International Journal on Digital LibrariesWith the ever-increasing number of submissions in top-tier conferences and journals, finding good reviewers and meta-reviewers is becoming increasingly difficult. Writing a meta-review is not straightforward as it involves a series of sub-tasks, including making a decision on the paper based on the reviewer’s recommendation and their confidence in the recommendation, mitigating disagreements among the reviewers, and other such similar tasks. In this work, we develop a novel approach to automatically generate meta-reviews that are decision-aware and which also take into account a set of relevant sub-tasks in the peer-review process. More specifically, we first predict the recommendation scores and confidence scores for the reviews, using which we then predict the decision on a particular manuscript. Finally, we utilize the decision signals for generating the meta-reviews using a transformer-based seq2seq architecture. Our proposed pipelined approach for automatic decision-aware meta-review generation achieves significant performance improvement over the standard summarization baselines as well as relevant prior works on this problem. We make our codes available at https://github.com/saprativa/seq-to-seq-decision-aware-mrg .
#Prediction#PredictionMarkets
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Spaceflight 🚀

These particles travel from the Sun ☀️ to Earth at close to the speed of light, a journey of just eight minutes ⏱️. There would be little time to prepare. "You tend to know an event is ongoing more than you can really forecast them" bbc.com/future/article/2024081

BBC · The superstorms from space that could end modern lifeBy Jonathan O'Callaghan
#SpaceWeather#SolarStorm#prediction
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